Southern Religion

Minority young children become the majority [not extinct]

Straightforward demographics trump shrill cries that “Black Children Are An Endangered Species.” Black, brown, red and yellow children are apparently the majority of their age group now, just as current minority groups are projected to become the summary majority in 2042.

Minority children have been moving toward majority status for some time, not toward extinction. In 2009, 48 percent of the children born in the United States were members of minority groups. And growth continued so that, according to projections from the latest U.S. Census data by researchers at the University of New Hampshire (UNH), the tipping point passed.

Kenneth Johnson, UNH professor of sociology and senior demographer at the UNH Carsey Institute, and Daniel Lichter, Ferris Family Professor in the Department of Policy Analysis and Management at Cornell University, said [.pdf] in a paper published Wednesday in the Journal Population and Development Review:

We do not need to rely on Census projections or wait until 2042 to observe the putative demographic implications of growing racial and ethnic diversity in American society. Our research documents the demographic forces that have placed today’s young people in the vanguard of America’s new racial and ethnic diversity. The seeds of diversity are being sown today by immigration and high fertility, which are revealed in growing racial and ethnic diversity among America’s children and youth. In many parts of the United States, the future is now.

Why? Most women of childbearing age are members of minority groups:

A key reason for the growing child diversity is the changing mix of women in their prime child-bearing years (20-39 years old). From 1990 to 2008, the number of non-Hispanic white women in prime child-bearing years decreased 19 percent while the number of minority women increased 40 percent. In 1990, 63 percent of all births were to non-Hispanic white women; in 2008, 52 percent were to non-Hispanic white women.

It is irresponsible to artificially elevate racial tensions in any context, but it is especially so in times of demographic transition when there is already tension over the costs of transition. The demographers speak directly to the most immediate concern when they write [.pdf]:

It has been more than 25 years since Samuel Preston (1984) argued that America’s declining fertility rates, increasing longevity, and consequent aging of the population have had the effect of shifting the nation’s resources from the young to the old. The social and economic realities of children had deteriorated while the circumstances of the elderly had improved. Our results raise an additional demographic complication for children (Hernandez 1993). That is, will America’s older, largely white population—through the ballot box and collective self-interest—support young people who are now much different culturally from themselves and their own children? Will they vote, for example, to raise taxes for schools that serve young people of ethnic backgrounds different from theirs? Preston (1984: 448) worried that “Americans have never had any strong sense of collective responsibility for other people’s children, only private responsibility for their own.” This may be especially true if “other people’s children” are largely minority, disproportionately poor, and live in separate communities. In fact, Poterba (1997) found that the presence of large fractions of elderly residents in a jurisdiction was associated with significantly lower per-child educational spending, especially if the elderly and children were of different races.

For the sake of the young who are alive, and for the sake of those yet to be born, this is a time to build more bridges.


March 11, 2010 - Posted by | History, Politics | , , , ,


  1. That is the reason that minorities are being targeted and abortion clinic chains such as Planned Parenthood ( founded from White Elitist Racist and Eugenics Members) are moving by droves into minority neighborhoods to make sure that their numbers do not clime any higher. Any doubts about this- just watch a fully documented film called: Maafa21 Black Genocide in 21st Century America. Maafa21 will shock the $%#@ out of you ! You will see documentation pop up on the screen that will make you yell out loud. This racist attempt to limit black populations and now Hispanic was hatched years ago by Planned Parenthood Founder and former Klan Speaker, Margaret Sanger. Sanger and her band of eugenic board members wanted to limit the births of those she deemed unfit – any guess who that was? Sanger was not alone – she was funded by many corporations and philanthropic organizations who were formerly linked to slaveholding. Watch Maafa21 and see how former civil rights leaders of the 60’s foresaw the genocide which is being carried out in today’s abortion clinics against the African American Populations. Maafa21 preview is here:

    Comment by saynsumthn | March 11, 2010

    • Reviewing your comment, you’re clearly selling a DVD, something that in my haste I overlooked. The DVDs you’re promoting are $20 each when bought singly.
      It isn’t clear to me who benefits from the sale.

      In any event, this is a comment space, not a classified advertising section.

      Moreover, your link does not go directly to the hard-sell preview. The preview makes no documented reference to civil rights leaders of the 60s. It consists of dramatic images, unattributed voice over and a concluding statement by an unidentified narrator.

      Comment by baptistplanet | March 11, 2010

  2. […] Baptist Planet weighed-in with a piece pointing-out that not only are minorities not on the path to extinction, but minorities will be the majority in a few more decades. […]

    Pingback by Mohler and his progeny | March 11, 2010

  3. Abortion clinics do the same thing McDonald’s, Wal*Mart, and Exxon do: they go where the customers are: location, location, location.

    Comment by Bob Felton | March 11, 2010

  4. Is this supposed to somehow vindicate planned parenthood in their targeting of minorities? It’s fantastic that minorities are seeing increase in birth rate, but this article in no way absolves planned parenthood or paints a pretty face on abortion.

    Comment by Clark Bates | March 11, 2010

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