Fundamentally, the voters determined health reform’s fate
Nate Silver digs statistically down to the root of it.
He does explore how complex the decision was. Truly complex.
Even so, pull retiring Democratic members of Congress out of the mix. That done, as the chart at right illustrates, and the best predictor of their Sunday votes was “the percentage of the vote that Barack Obama received in each congressional district in 2008.
The voters decided this one, it seems.
Today’s graph: Obama’s presidential success, measured
Obama has the highest presidential success rate of any president since Congressional Quarterly began scoring presidential success rates in Congress.
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